Kind-Cranky
0xae51c514f66b7b452907bff3a3cfbcc28e866a8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.79
Total PnL
$-19.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.79
$-0.25
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
552 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
144 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
10 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
5 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 15, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$1.00Jun 15, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.00May 6, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.06May 6, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.00May 6, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.05May 6, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.37Feb 11, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.03Feb 11, 08:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.02Feb 10, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.04Feb 9, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$5.11Feb 9, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$0.05Feb 9, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.55Feb 9, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.00Feb 9, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.75Feb 9, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$3.00Feb 9, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.39Feb 9, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.01Feb 9, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.15Feb 9, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Feb 9, 11:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.