Trifling-Love
0xae51e913ba40f3770ef05089347718194768914e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$9.12
Total PnL
$-2.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- NO
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- NO
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- NO
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- NO
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 27, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Jan 27, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?$2.04Jan 27, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?$1.00Jan 23, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil join the Board of Peace?$1.00Jan 23, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India join the Board of Peace?$1.00Jan 23, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$1.00Jan 23, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$1.00Jan 23, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$1.00Jan 23, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?$1.10Jan 23, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$1.56Jan 23, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$7.14Jan 23, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$1.00Jan 21, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 22:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.