0xae5657042172e1eb4ea93dcef6bd14cbedf1c7b4
0xae5657042172e1eb4ea93dcef6bd14cbedf1c7b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$22.70
Total PnL
$-25.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
8 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$7.90
$2.45
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.46
$2.46
- NO
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
7 shares @ 68.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$7.34
$2.34
- NO
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?
21 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.48
- NO
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
18 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.08
- NO
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?
14 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.46
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?$7.48Feb 10, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?$6.46Feb 10, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?$8.93Feb 10, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?$0.00Feb 9, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?$5.00Feb 7, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?$7.73Feb 7, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 3, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?$5.00Feb 2, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$5.00Feb 2, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$9.08Feb 2, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?$5.41Feb 2, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$8.06Feb 2, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Finland by Feburary 1?$6.85Feb 2, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The Netherlands by Feburary 1?$7.14Feb 2, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?$5.00Feb 1, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 1, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.98Feb 1, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$5.00Jan 19, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The Netherlands by Feburary 1?$5.00Jan 19, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$5.00Jan 19, 14:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 05:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 01:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.