Compassionate-Allocation
0xae60926db9c87de11389e909a08f529c3bd9da59
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?
147 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.14
- NO
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
132 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
122 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?
112 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- NO
Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
104 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.00Dec 17, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.12Dec 17, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.11Dec 11, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Panthers win the NFC Championship?$0.13Dec 5, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?$0.15Dec 2, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noah Fifita win the Heisman Trophy?$0.10Nov 30, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.15Nov 24, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?$0.13Nov 10, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.14Nov 9, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? $0.08Nov 9, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? $0.04Nov 9, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$0.12Nov 9, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?$0.10Nov 8, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?$0.10Nov 8, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 165,000,000-170,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$191.01Nov 8, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 165,000,000-170,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$191.20Nov 8, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?$191.21Nov 8, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?$191.40Nov 8, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?$191.40Nov 8, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?$191.60Nov 8, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $68.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".