Alarming-Pheromone
0xae79efcc07dca807adac06cb4c85f2bf1b934ea5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$36.36
Total PnL
$-579.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$36.36
$32.36
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
5067 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
2306 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1748 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?
516 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
400 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
297 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
257 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-66.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.40Feb 7, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$10.40Feb 6, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$10.68Feb 6, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$32.52Feb 6, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$34.00Feb 6, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Feb 6, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$22.00Feb 6, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$100.00Feb 6, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$16.00Feb 6, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.89Feb 6, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$6.04Feb 6, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Feb 6, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$6.50Feb 6, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$8.94Feb 6, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.50Feb 6, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.42Feb 6, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$3.71Feb 6, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden's War" this week? (February 8)$1.87Feb 6, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden's War" this week? (February 8)$0.30Feb 6, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden's War" this week? (February 8)$0.60Feb 6, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".