Elderly-Naturalisation
0xae80195bd3a761fe6b39bec9dfab9b5566fc86b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$35.03
Total PnL
$-1.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
26 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.45
$0.45
- NO
Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$9.36
$-1.64
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.21
$-0.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.06Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$478.07Jun 13, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$490.53Jun 13, 13:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.64Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$288.59Jun 12, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73.72Jun 12, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$76.46Jun 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.47Jun 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$501.74Jun 12, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$515.60Jun 12, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$514.75Jun 12, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$538.70Jun 12, 10:32 UTC
- REWARD$2.26Jun 12, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.54Jun 11, 00:20 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.73Jun 7, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$115.15Jun 6, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$11.79Jun 6, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.31Jun 6, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$98.96Jun 6, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $153.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 11:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.