Idolized-Poison
0xae81fd29d554b3ca3adc25153189d55983f4fa6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-198.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
3283 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
942 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2025-10-09?
520 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-57.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 29?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 29?
112 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-16.27
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
104 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
103 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
52 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2PM ET
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?$223.80Jan 11, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?$20.00Jan 11, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?$20.00Jan 11, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?$49.80Jan 11, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$49.91Jan 11, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$99.82Jan 5, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00Nov 3, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? $10.00Nov 3, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?$30.00Oct 31, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$5.00Oct 31, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$5.00Oct 31, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 2PM ET$4.00Oct 31, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 2PM ET$23.96Oct 31, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 2PM ET$4.00Oct 31, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$394.14Oct 31, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 29?$4.90Oct 29, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 29?$5.10Oct 29, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 29?$6.27Oct 29, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 29?$5.00Oct 29, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$21.29Oct 29, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $80.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 21:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.