Writhing-Papaya
0xae8775235bc39aacf9b3fb1e4de6d033bd3f40fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$7.09
Total PnL
$-16.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.92
$0.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$1.18
$0.19
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
128 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.73
- NO
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 16, 2026?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$0.01Apr 7, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.00Apr 7, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$7.04Apr 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$6.85Mar 31, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$9.73Mar 30, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$9.48Mar 30, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$5.00Mar 12, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 16, 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$5.00Mar 12, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin be the top performing crypto for the week of March 2?$12.94Mar 10, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$3.00Mar 5, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin be the top performing crypto for the week of March 2?$5.00Mar 2, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$5.00Mar 2, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $5.00Mar 2, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$5.00Mar 2, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?$18.23Mar 2, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$2.18Mar 2, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMFogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$1.41Mar 2, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $4.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 06:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.