Lumpy-Farmer
0xae88979be21855f935ab6ebc9b022ff49d9b1083
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-518.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Trump say "Goy" or "Goyim" during meeting with Netanyahu?
1062 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
786 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-201.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?
250 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 23?
146 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 1?
127 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during meeting with Netanyahu?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?$0.00Feb 17, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?$0.00Feb 17, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?$0.00Feb 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?$5.00Feb 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?$5.00Feb 11, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during meeting with Netanyahu?$5.00Feb 11, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Goy" or "Goyim" during meeting with Netanyahu?$5.00Feb 11, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?$5.00Feb 11, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?$5.00Feb 11, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?$10.00Feb 11, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$201.93Feb 10, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMBig Game: Coin Toss$50.00Feb 10, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12AM ET$7.00Feb 5, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10PM ET$8.00Feb 5, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9PM ET$8.00Feb 5, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8PM ET$8.00Feb 5, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7PM ET$8.00Feb 5, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7PM ET$0.00Feb 5, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10AM ET$0.00Feb 5, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3PM ET$0.00Feb 5, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $12.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 13:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".