Heavenly-Stable
0xae8b6d96067188cbee88b5cff18082b14561f30f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-453.57
Realised
$31.90
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
12000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- MOUZ
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs
2009 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Spurs
2003 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- ELON PHOENIX
Elon Phoenix vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies (W)
1808 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
1734 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-62.38
- ZYB ESPORT
LoL: Galions vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group
1420 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- GAMERLEGION
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
1125 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
1097 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1033 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- K27
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs K27 (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Playoffs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles$1.00Apr 14, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners$1.11Apr 14, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners$1.00Apr 13, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ES Troyes AC win on 2026-04-13?$1.00Apr 13, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWild vs. Blues$1.95Apr 13, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.00Apr 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.00Apr 13, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.17Apr 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.11Apr 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.27Apr 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.00Apr 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Blues$2.00Apr 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSabres vs. Blackhawks$0.97Apr 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$0.99Apr 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWild vs. Blues$1.00Apr 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Blues$1.00Apr 13, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gaziantep FK win on 2026-04-13?$1.00Apr 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Fredericia win on 2026-04-13?$1.16Apr 13, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.00Apr 13, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gaziantep FK win on 2026-04-13?$3.00Apr 13, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 23:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.