Hopeful-Closure
0xae8e0f4977c999df4633470892ec74a2dd9f44c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$88.37
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$132.62
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$83.50
$3.50
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3250 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.87
$-771.57
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
3000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will Flamengo win in regular time against PSG?
1000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- FLAMENGO
FIFA Intercontinental Cup: PSG vs. Flamengo - Winner
808 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-81.14
- YES
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the December meeting?
340 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-140.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".