Deep-Wing
0xae8ee44062b9e6e866e72995f3494206736e2dfd
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$13.44
Total PnL
$-32.82
Realised
$-0.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 27.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.15
$2.15
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 76.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 95.3¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.01May 4, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.01May 4, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01May 4, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00May 4, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMGenius FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.01May 4, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$1.02May 4, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$1.06May 4, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$1.00Apr 25, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$1.00Apr 25, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00Apr 14, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 14, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 14, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.02Apr 14, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.03Apr 14, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$1.05Apr 14, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$1.07Apr 14, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill France strike Iran by March 31?$1.08Apr 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.00Mar 27, 05:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.