Spherical-Poppy
0xae8f39981cdf14c2087dd14f7b47c2d3a831c820
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-919.80
Realised
$18.52
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 8?
127 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-28.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 1?
121 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-41.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 1?
118 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 30?
110 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-31.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?
108 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-46.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?
107 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-43.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 6?
106 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-35.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on May 3?
102 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-39.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 6?
102 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-47.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on May 2?
101 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-39.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 6?$8.30Jun 6, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 6?$8.96Jun 6, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 6?$4.10Jun 6, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 6?$0.00Jun 6, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 6?$1.60Jun 6, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 6?$4.55Jun 6, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 6?$1.71Jun 6, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 6?$4.40Jun 5, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?$5.98Jun 5, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5?$2.43Jun 5, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 5?$3.84Jun 5, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?$5.42Jun 5, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5?$5.86Jun 5, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?$20.29Jun 4, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 4?$1.84Jun 4, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 4?$0.71Jun 4, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 4?$2.76Jun 4, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?$0.30Jun 4, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?$2.48Jun 4, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?$2.48Jun 4, 09:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 13:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.