Spicy-Polarisation
0xae8fa8cef9c33dd14f705a9b9fc235598249e8b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$-502.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
58019 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-216.18
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
5776 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-51.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?
5541 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-110.81
- YES
Over $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?
3979 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
3923 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- EXECRATION
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Execration (BO1)
1543 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-496.82
- YES
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-26?
1438 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2024$0.00
$-488.92
- NATUS VINCERE
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1)
880 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-543.85
- NATUS VINCERE
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
846 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-322.40
- MOUZ
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
815 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-497.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$113.85Jan 31, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$473.17Jan 30, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$15.12Jan 30, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: strongboys vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$549.47Jan 29, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs$549.47Jan 29, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs$498.78Jan 29, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: strongboys vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$830.88Jan 28, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: strongboys vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$499.03Jan 28, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)$497.45Dec 14, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)$124.50Dec 14, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis (BO3)$124.50Dec 14, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis (BO3)$198.69Dec 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner$198.69Dec 14, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner$145.98Dec 14, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner$98.89Dec 6, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner$98.00Dec 6, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner$322.40Dec 5, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner$311.36Dec 5, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner$11.04Dec 5, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner$355.25Dec 5, 11:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $243.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 13:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 05:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".