Joyous-Jasmine
0xae9d6fe716d9e42ca81ec52c134cf747f0edf863
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.11
Total PnL
$-5.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US bank failure by October 31?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$4.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31?
4 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$3.67
$0.13
- YES
Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany?
4600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by December 31?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy by December 31?$3.54Oct 5, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by December 31?$1.00Oct 5, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by October 31?$4.00Oct 5, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority?$3.32Sep 30, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$5.21Sep 30, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority?$3.20May 2, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?$5.00May 2, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May? $1.21May 2, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake before May?$1.92May 2, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMEarthquake 7.0 or above in April?$2.06May 2, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$3.02May 2, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake before May?$1.91Apr 28, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May? $1.20Apr 28, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEarthquake 7.0 or above in April?$2.00Apr 28, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$3.00Apr 28, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMPKK removed from U.S. terror list before April?$1.00Apr 28, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?$1.20Apr 28, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMJustin & Hailey Bieber divorce before April?$1.20Apr 28, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?$1.21Apr 28, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill El Salvador/Bukele launch a memecoin before April?$3.50Apr 28, 23:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 5, 10:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.