Wary-Predecessor
0xaea16fc0c21ec693c1f333671085a2b32d08adcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-981.95
Realised
$92.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
3267 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-444.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
1718 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1074 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-72.69
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?
1038 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
967 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-143.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
621 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-103.00
- YES
Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?
610 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
361 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.08
- YES
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
343 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-60.00
- NO
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
274 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-14.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.00Dec 4, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?$1.25Dec 4, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$3.61Dec 4, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$36.08Dec 4, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$9.00Nov 25, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$90.00Nov 25, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$227.92Sep 12, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$117.00Sep 5, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$22.00Aug 4, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$21.45Aug 4, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$28.00Aug 3, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?$8.31Aug 3, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$35.00Jul 4, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$6.00Jun 29, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$40.00Jun 29, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$50.00Jun 24, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?$29.00Jun 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$20.00Jun 23, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$10.00Jun 23, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before July?$10.00Jun 23, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $33.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 09:24 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".