Paltry-Headlight
0xaea5d42f80524fa067dcf0641ae25287070b25ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$1.83
Total PnL
$-54.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.33
$-0.67
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
13 shares @ 7.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Japan win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next James Bond be British?
255 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
208 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?$1.00Feb 15, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell in jail before 2027?$1.00Feb 15, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant before marriage?$1.00Feb 15, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$1.00Feb 15, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$1.00Feb 15, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.00Feb 15, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$1.00Feb 15, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorrit Bergsma (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 13, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Odermatt record the most medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.26Feb 13, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 11, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 11, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 11, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joep Wennemars (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 11, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liechtenstein record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 11, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 11, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 11, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 11, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Odermatt record the most medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 11, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kjeld Nuis (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 11, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sara Shimizu (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 11, 07:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 07:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".