Pleasing-Laborer
0xaea7a124c060de2f4c2825dcf683683d5af2065f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 9?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 9?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?
61 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)$3.70Aug 14, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? $5.11Jul 15, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill @Grok resume replying by Wednesday? $7.35Jul 15, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$8.38Jul 15, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?$6.74Jul 15, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$5.07Jul 15, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?$5.00Jul 15, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Russia military clash by December 31?$5.00Jul 15, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$4.87Jul 15, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$3.09Jul 15, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon register the America Party in 2025?$1.19Jul 15, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon register the America Party in July?$1.15Jul 15, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon register the America Party before October?$1.16Jul 15, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? $1.00Jul 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$5.00Jul 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)$2.00Jul 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 9?$5.00Jul 9, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 9?$5.00Jul 9, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9?$5.00Jul 9, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$5.00Jul 9, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 17:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 04:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.