Uncommon-Fluke
0xaeb2ca1636033ecf09514965c5d2c02d178cbd48
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$75.20
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?
300 shares @ 23.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$59.85
$-9.15
- YES
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in May?
25 shares @ 15.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.45
$7.76
- YES
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
600 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.90
$-26.50
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 17 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
3000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 12 be greater than 2,800,000?
1057 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-136.21
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
729 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 20 be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?
540 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-155.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 22 be between 2,900,000 and 3,100,000?
400 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-87.99
- YES
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?
328 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-72.78
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 10 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?
311 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?$19.59May 14, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?$16.33May 14, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?$23.00May 14, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?$0.82May 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?$0.57May 12, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in May?$0.37May 12, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?$3.28May 11, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?$0.30May 10, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in May?$1.01May 10, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?$1.55May 10, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in May?$1.01May 10, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?$1.55May 10, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?$1.61May 10, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in May?$1.05May 10, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in May?$0.40May 5, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in May?$0.26May 5, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 27 - May 3 be between 16,500,000 and 17,000,000?$20.00May 4, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$9.75May 4, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$21.17May 3, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$0.26May 3, 22:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 15:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".