Elliptical-Western
0xaec5a42d13f22ab9ea5e69d87f6654a6b9a7ce1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.62
Total PnL
$-74.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-1.38
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
61 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Riviera" or "Resort" during Egypt summit?
59 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?
55 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?
29 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during Egypt summit?
13 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$31.88Jan 3, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$15.65Nov 29, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$41.00Nov 24, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$10.00Nov 24, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$2.00Nov 24, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$40.00Nov 24, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$58.14Nov 15, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$40.79Nov 2, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$50.00Oct 31, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELL100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$23.04Oct 30, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$41.36Oct 24, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELL100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$9.46Oct 20, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$13.00Oct 14, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$5.00Oct 14, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?$11.00Oct 14, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$11.00Oct 14, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$20.00Oct 14, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during Egypt summit?$2.00Oct 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?$5.00Oct 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Riviera" or "Resort" during Egypt summit?$3.00Oct 14, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $14.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 22:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 04:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".