Vague-King
0xaec8eae40665a47e388bed776201292dd8fb4604
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-553.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 9PM ET
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- CAVALIERS
Pacers vs. Cavaliers
300 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2025$0.00
$-224.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5PM ET
193 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3200 and $3300 on July 17 at 5PM ET?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- PHILLIES
Phillies vs. Mets
119 shares @ 83.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
92 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
72 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?$20.37Jun 3, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$22.38Feb 20, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$10.00Feb 20, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$10.00Feb 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Feb 18, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$10.00Feb 15, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.62Feb 15, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Feb 9, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 8PM ET$10.00Feb 9, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$27.15Feb 9, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5PM ET$10.00Feb 8, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Feb 8, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12PM ET$1.00Feb 8, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 12PM ET$1.00Feb 8, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$19.99Feb 6, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Feb 6, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $8.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 05:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".