Scornful-Equity
0xaed360b0afe9784093daba63600ca01c47601b26
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$4.76
Total PnL
$-6.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 14?$4.00Oct 13, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,500 on May 16?$4.38Oct 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on May 16?$3.50May 14, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $130 on April 4?$7.00Mar 30, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Media invest in Solana before July?$0.98Feb 22, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Media invest in Solana before July?$2.55Feb 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?$7.76Jan 20, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?$7.00Jan 19, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$3.94Dec 14, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$3.23Nov 26, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Speed/Kai give up on challenge before Saturday?$1.58Nov 19, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$1.60Nov 19, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden's 538 approval reach 43% in September?$2.33Nov 19, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?$6.11Nov 19, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?$5.62Nov 12, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden's 538 approval reach 43% in September?$1.21Sep 5, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$1.60Aug 26, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Speed/Kai give up on challenge before Saturday?$1.58Aug 23, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?$980.71Aug 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?$981.70Aug 21, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $463.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 13, 13:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.