Simplistic-Silly
0xaed743ed90cd839a237253bd15fe98d1c66d2783
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-14.58
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 9?
905 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-39.83
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?
715 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-99.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 11?
167 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-50.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
125 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$12.87May 8, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$60.00May 7, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$74.46May 7, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$149.99May 7, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?$260.63May 7, 23:40 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.87Apr 12, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 11?$11.57Apr 11, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 11?$37.93Apr 11, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 11?$0.60Apr 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 11?$70.97Apr 11, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$40.00Apr 11, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$11.66Apr 11, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$2.33Apr 11, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$16.80Apr 11, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$16.00Apr 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$16.00Apr 11, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$3.84Apr 11, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$4.00Apr 11, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$8.16Apr 11, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$18.00Apr 11, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 23:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 05:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.