Upbeat-Promise
0xaedd21361af2aa4067139a8f82bde728e7e8fa00
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$57.56
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
16 shares @ 90.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$15.60
$1.42
- NO
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.98
$-0.01
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
7 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.97
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 82°F or higher on March 22?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- CAPITALS
Canucks vs. Capitals
2000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- PANTHERS
Panthers vs. 49ers
140 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?
100 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-43.00
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. 76ers
38 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 82°F or higher on March 22?$5.00Mar 21, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 18?$5.00Mar 21, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 18?$4.90Mar 17, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$4.90Mar 17, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.81Mar 9, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.66Mar 9, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$14.18Mar 9, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 2?$28.65Mar 9, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 2?$28.59Mar 2, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$8.00Mar 2, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$15.00Mar 2, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$7.99Feb 28, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$9.99Feb 28, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$17.00Feb 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$14.98Feb 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$4.86Feb 28, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?$30.00Feb 28, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$30.42Feb 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$30.24Jan 6, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?$29.76Jan 6, 04:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $682.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.