Truthful-Serum
0xaef1866f33dd2a1af6e6b492b956ec2357d4e8b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$137.12
Total PnL
$-22.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5662 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$76.44
$3.45
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
572 shares @ 9.4¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.18
$1.18
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
327 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
61 shares @ 3.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
476 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
9 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.65Jun 7, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.35Jun 7, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.35Jun 7, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.48Jun 7, 19:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $27.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 19:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.