Impish-Paw
0xaef23893f4e59c8da63a728d952d9f60b295a55c
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.03
Total PnL
$-226.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- SABRES
Rangers vs. Sabres
500 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2024$0.00
$-215.00
- YES
ECB rate cut in 2025?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- LAKERS
Celtics vs. Lakers
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill José María Balcazar be the next President of Peru?$2.00Feb 19, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Feb 19, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.02Feb 19, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMLarger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor?$1.03Feb 19, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$1.04Feb 19, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.09Feb 19, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMFiorot vs. Jasudavicius$1.43Feb 19, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMAnother France debt downgrade by December 31?$1.75Feb 19, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$2.50Feb 19, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Concentrix (CNXC) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$2.63Feb 19, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 30, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Lyman by November 30?$1.00Oct 30, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.41Oct 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLarger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor?$1.00Oct 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFiorot vs. Jasudavicius$1.00Oct 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$1.00Oct 8, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?$1.00Oct 8, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.00Oct 8, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$1.00Sep 19, 00:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $116.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.