Miniature-Combination
0xaef31b6017ffbe9bc6fef482cdf1a25aad91e62c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-169.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
662 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-23.77
- NO
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
510 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-122.65
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-23.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$11.98Dec 30, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.28Dec 24, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$2.55Dec 24, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$4.99Dec 24, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$14.39Dec 24, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$0.85Dec 24, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$0.52Dec 24, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$2.73Dec 24, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$0.74Dec 23, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.75Dec 23, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$4.05Dec 23, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$2.47Dec 23, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$0.65Dec 23, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$0.17Dec 23, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$2.50Dec 23, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$0.38Dec 23, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$0.45Dec 23, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$0.76Dec 23, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.96Dec 23, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?$1.38Dec 23, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.