Unwieldy-Babushka
0xaef3c838b4af282cd00ee6634f183f34d39435b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-185.25
Win rate
0%
196 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
1500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
167 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
156 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
129 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
110 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
106 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
106 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$3.49Jul 14, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$2.26Jul 14, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$2.32Jul 14, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.16Jul 14, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$2.28Jul 14, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$4.31Jul 14, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$2.28Jul 14, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$6.73Jul 14, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.15Jul 14, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2.27Jul 14, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$2.30Jul 14, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$3.86Jul 13, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$2.27Jul 13, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$3.61Jul 13, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$2.26Jul 13, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$2.29Jul 13, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$2.26Jul 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.26Jul 13, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$4.07Jul 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.27Jul 13, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 196 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
196 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 00:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 196 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.