Unwelcome-Carter
0xaef505b5cb2b46103a227e217d2c701a2a295f01
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-2.97
Win rate
14%
83 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4494 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
1044 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-99.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
738 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
727 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
612 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
508 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
473 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
444 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
368 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.05Jul 21, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.23Jul 21, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.03Jul 21, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 20, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.04Jul 20, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 19, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$336.23Jul 19, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$993.50Jul 19, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$490.53Jul 19, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$507.81Jul 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.66Jul 19, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.04Jul 19, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.28Jul 19, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.06Jul 19, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$0.13Jul 19, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.38Jul 19, 16:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 83 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
83 closed markets, 14% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $93.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 17:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 17:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 83 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.