Occasional-Infrastructure
0xaefb54769f93d78aea674f3ba65bd3817a5e4c40
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$25.77
Total PnL
$-25.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31?
22 shares @ 68.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2022$21.90
$6.90
- YES
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be 70 ETH or above on Aug 31?
4 shares @ 77.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2022$3.87
$0.87
- NO
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
29 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2022$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?
10 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2021$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022?
9 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2022$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 135 ETH on May 5?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2022$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26?
3 shares @ 90.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2022$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?$12.15Feb 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? $14.87Oct 27, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022?$1.16Sep 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? $0.00Sep 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Declan Rice sign for Chelsea on or before August 31, 2021?$0.00Sep 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021?$0.00Sep 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1?$0.00Sep 8, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week?$0.00Aug 24, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July?$0.00Aug 24, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1?$10.66Aug 24, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15?$0.00Aug 24, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021?$0.00Aug 24, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021?$0.00Aug 24, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1?$2.43Aug 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Novak Djokovic win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics?$0.00Aug 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. Women’s Soccer team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics?$5.77Aug 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1?$9.88Aug 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?$0.00Aug 5, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Simone Biles win 5 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics?$0.00Aug 1, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Simone Biles win 5 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics?$0.00Aug 1, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".