Wallet digest

active

Activity score

63/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$28.63

Total PnL

$-54.73

Realised

$-32.49

Win rate

47%

15 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026
$4.45
$0.40
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
4 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026
$3.60
$0.19
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
3 shares @ 90.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026
$3.26
$0.30
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
3 shares @ 75.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026
$2.99
$0.74
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
3 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026
$2.81
$0.23
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026
$2.11
$0.08
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
2 shares @ 74.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$2.01
$0.52
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
2 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$1.95
$0.11
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026
$1.54
$0.03
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026
$1.44
$0.03

Recent activity

TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8AM ET$1.14Jan 31, 13:51 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$5.67Jan 31, 13:50 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$11.54Jan 31, 13:50 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8AM ET$5.90Jan 31, 13:50 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$2.56Jan 31, 13:50 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$4.42Jan 31, 13:50 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 13:50 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$155.78Jan 31, 13:49 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.55Jan 31, 13:42 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.55Jan 31, 13:42 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$21.28Jan 31, 13:41 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8AM ET$1.19Jan 31, 13:41 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.13Jan 31, 13:40 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.04Jan 31, 13:40 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.13Jan 31, 13:40 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$4.58Jan 31, 13:40 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$24.74Jan 31, 13:39 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$25.27Jan 31, 13:39 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$26.29Jan 31, 13:38 UTC
TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.44Jan 31, 13:38 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence50 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry13 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk40 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 44
Avg trade size: $4.92
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 31, 13:32 UTC
Last active: Jan 31, 13:51 UTC
Win rate sample: 15 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 20:23:01 UTC·src:Polymarket Data