Alarmed-Populist
0xaf0d46df3a08e79b464ceb565bd2d94eef4bdea7
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-180.71
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
18243 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.49
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2039 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-115.00
- YES
Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?
1583 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?
1471 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1437 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01?
1124 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-478.00
- YES
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?
1000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-580.00
- YES
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-28?
1000 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-310.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
942 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-305.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-21?$31.20Mar 21, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?$125.00Mar 8, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?$126.00Mar 8, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US Cremonese win on 2026-03-08?$4.53Mar 8, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US Lecce win on 2026-03-08?$246.68Mar 8, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Cremonese win on 2026-03-08?$80.00Mar 8, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Lecce win on 2026-03-08?$126.00Mar 8, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Málaga CF vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?$13.00Mar 7, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Málaga CF win on 2026-03-07?$193.18Mar 7, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Málaga CF win on 2026-03-07?$100.00Mar 7, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Málaga CF vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?$39.00Mar 7, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Burgos CF win on 2026-03-07?$138.44Mar 7, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burgos CF win on 2026-03-07?$71.00Mar 7, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Levante UD win on 2026-03-07?$71.00Mar 7, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Levante UD win on 2026-03-07?$34.00Mar 7, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?$27.11Mar 7, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?$7.52Mar 7, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?$69.00Mar 7, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-06?$180.00Mar 7, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?$248.84Mar 7, 06:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $75.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 07:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 07:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".