Defenseless-Blinker
0xaf15dd6c788120f74bf5f825cf5fe817e1350852
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.35
Total PnL
$-10.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- 109K
Will Bitcoin hit $107k or $109k first?
3 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$2.95
$1.33
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 71.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
455 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.83
- YES
Will Donald Trump issue 10-14 executive orders in June?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$0.54Sep 3, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $107k or $109k first?$1.62Jul 8, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEarthquake 7.0 or above before August?$0.64Jul 8, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$0.98Jul 8, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$2.83Jul 4, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$0.79Jul 4, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Jul 2, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$1.00Jul 2, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$4.00Jul 2, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?$5.48Jul 2, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$1.00Jul 1, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana ETF approved by July 31?$1.32Jul 1, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Jul 1, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana ETF approved by July 31?$1.00Jun 30, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1.00Jun 30, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$1.14Jun 30, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump issue 10-14 executive orders in June?$2.00Jun 30, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?$2.00Jun 30, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?$2.00Jun 30, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down on June 25?$3.57Jun 25, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 3, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".