Phony-Cuticle
0xaf165afb52e2fba48e5906ebf84c79f826ac464e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-102.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
23440 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
12621 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-196.74
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
10218 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 25?
7614 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
6125 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-299.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
4830 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
4403 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
3296 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 25?
2727 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2449 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-87.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$87.39Jan 20, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$87.39Jan 20, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$371.43Dec 27, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$371.43Dec 27, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$371.43Dec 27, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$371.43Dec 27, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$228.12Dec 27, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$800.00Dec 27, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$73.22Dec 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$73.22Dec 8, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$791.33Dec 7, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$791.33Dec 5, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$623.22Dec 5, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$300.00Dec 5, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: November$100.00Nov 29, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$100.00Nov 29, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$100.00Nov 28, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$100.00Nov 28, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$100.00Nov 26, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$200.00Nov 26, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $329.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".