Crowded-Fault
0xaf1acd9be8844bc66f14805d0711764982391f2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$44.50
Total PnL
$16.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 6, 9AM ET
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2025$12.00
$6.00
- BRAVES
Marlins vs. Braves
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2025$8.00
$4.00
- NO
10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?
6 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$6.00
$3.24
- PANFEROV
UFC: Ewert vs. Panferov
6 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$6.00
$3.78
- GOFF
Goff vs. Ko
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-26?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$5.00
$2.25
- BELGAROUI
UFC Fight Night: Bekoev vs. Belgaroui
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$2.50
$0.00
- DOS SANTOS
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santos
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-26?$2.75Aug 25, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?$2.76Aug 20, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC: Ewert vs. Panferov$2.22Aug 12, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarlins vs. Braves$4.00Aug 9, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Bekoev vs. Belgaroui$2.50Aug 1, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santos$3.20Jul 30, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 6, 9AM ET$6.00Jul 5, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Hatchett die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?$0.00Jun 15, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.9% on April 25?$1.10Jun 15, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in May?$1.20Jun 15, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4?$1.30Jun 15, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in April?$1.30Jun 15, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in April?$1.50Jun 15, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in April?$1.50Jun 15, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?$1.60Jun 15, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in May?$2.01Jun 15, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in April?$2.81Jun 15, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoff vs. Ko$5.00May 29, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6000 in May?$2.00May 11, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in May?$1.20May 8, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 06:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 25, 07:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".