Creative-Hoof
0xaf1bcfb289b77c8439fed9dab37bbebb87113ef5
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-224.18
Realised
$-74.38
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 26?
229 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.70 May 4-10?
153 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 27?
141 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?
103 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
95 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?
90 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.97
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 29?
78 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-21.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 28?
76 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 30?
64 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?
64 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 28?$73.25Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 28?$72.15Jul 27, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?$141.48Jul 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?$0.23Jul 11, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?$0.14Jul 11, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 12?$138.57Jul 11, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 26?$2.94Jun 25, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?$138.59Jun 1, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?$0.26May 31, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 31?$136.67May 31, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$3.97May 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 23?$2.39May 22, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kurt win the Legend Trade Series?$18.43May 22, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 14?$125.79May 14, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 14?$124.78May 13, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill $PENGUIN reach $200M in Q1?$34.70May 13, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.70 May 4-10?$1.47May 10, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8?$3.17May 7, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 on April 12?$123.74May 7, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?$0.00Apr 25, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $49.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.