Decisive-Orange
0xaf1c42ce5489d23f421024893b04ebe1de9a0902
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$100.71
Total PnL
$-3.72
Realised
$-0.86
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
25 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.91
$0.01
- NO
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
21 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.84
$-0.01
- NO
Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Oct 17, 2026$19.90
$-0.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?
16 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$16.00
$0.03
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
300 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.15
$-0.15
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
300 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.90
$-1.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$6.61Jun 9, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.20Jun 9, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.24Jun 9, 12:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.75Jun 8, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$7.61Jun 8, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.73Jun 8, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.90Jun 8, 11:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.08Jun 7, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.40Jun 7, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.91Jun 7, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.80Jun 7, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$8.81Jun 7, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$25.84Jun 7, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$25.97Jun 7, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $12.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.