Suspicious-Simplicity
0xaf21a56e9dbe83434e5963d64e2d6ce797487482
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-122.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
459719 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.5K
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
35654 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.0K
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition
31545 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.5K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4900 August 18–24?
10408 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.7K
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" during his NATO speech?
6796 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Bunker buster" during his NATO speech?
4594 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?
2374 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-190.00
- YES
XRP above $3.30 on August 15?
2083 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear weapon" during his NATO speech?
2055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Intelligence" during his NATO speech?
1399 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)$0.00Feb 22, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)$1.0KFeb 22, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)$300.94Feb 21, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$15.9KNov 21, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$33.7KNov 21, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$5.5KOct 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$10.0KAug 24, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4900 August 18–24?$1.0KAug 24, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$482.29Aug 24, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? $546.75Aug 24, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4900 August 18–24?$5.6KAug 23, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.6KAug 23, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$4.4KAug 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $114K on August 22?$4.4KAug 22, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $114K on August 22?$1.9KAug 19, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $3.40 in August?$1.9KAug 19, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$16.6KAug 18, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$33.3KAug 18, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? $942.44Aug 18, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $118K August 4–10?$942.45Aug 10, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 22:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".