Immense-Bond
0xaf2a9de7485ec142db740442c6c6e58f9d5cbf19
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
879 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-18.60
- NO
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
668 shares @ 76.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-513.88
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?
590 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in October?
522 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in July?
436 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in October?
360 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
201 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.24
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?
179 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.17
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?
169 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US add more than 200k jobs in August?
155 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?$297.87Nov 27, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?$116.01Nov 12, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?$20.17Nov 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in October?$20.17Nov 12, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in October?$19.34Nov 11, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.1% in October?$31.00Nov 11, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.9% in October?$54.00Nov 11, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in October?$14.00Nov 11, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$0.00Oct 30, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$118.34Oct 30, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?$23.83Oct 29, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?$50.00Oct 29, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$100.00Oct 29, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$173.83Oct 29, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$170.52Oct 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?$170.52Oct 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?$170.77Oct 25, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 3.2% in September?$25.50Oct 24, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?$50.74Oct 24, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?$4.00Oct 20, 12:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $56.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 5, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 27, 12:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".