Mild-Fiesta
0xaf3a8aff7f4320394f3627ef3076b991db3fe41f
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$138.53
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$31.57
Win rate
78%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?
54 shares @ 42.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$53.75
$30.82
- NO
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?
50 shares @ 65.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$50.00
$17.13
- NO
Will Fred Warner win the 2025-26 NFL DPOY?
35 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$34.69
$1.39
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.09
$0.02
- YES
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?
3518 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-31.66
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?
3500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?
3161 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- YES
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?
2865 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
2302 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
1750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill June Squibb win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.53Dec 12, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$30.00Dec 1, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$572.21Nov 18, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Nov 18, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$114.00Nov 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$0.10Nov 10, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$57.00Nov 9, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$0.14Nov 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$0.01Nov 7, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$0.01Nov 7, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$41.52Nov 5, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$11.50Nov 5, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$44.00Nov 5, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$36.33Nov 5, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Koln win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$0.84Nov 4, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$0.47Nov 4, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$0.48Nov 4, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$0.40Nov 4, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.80Nov 4, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Browns win the AFC Championship?$1.36Nov 3, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $20.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 09:02 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 00:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".