Hasty-Zen
0xaf3c531391cd267f87bda6be563f440181cd1114
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$33.85
Total PnL
$-2.75
Realised
$-1.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
French election called by October 10?
18 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$18.00
$0.32
- YES
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?
10 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$10.00
$7.30
- NO
US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.00
$0.23
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.85
$-6.15
- NO
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$2.01Oct 14, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$4.99Oct 14, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?$2.70Oct 10, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Afghanistan by October 31?$4.78Oct 10, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by October 10?$17.68Oct 10, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Finland" or "Canada" 15+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$0.00Oct 10, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$0.00Oct 10, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fake news" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$0.00Oct 10, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 7+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$10.00Oct 10, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Jared" or "Kushner" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$10.00Oct 10, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$10.00Oct 10, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NATO" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$20.00Oct 10, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$470.78Oct 10, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$471.26Oct 10, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?$423.88Oct 10, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?$424.31Oct 10, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$460.83Oct 10, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$461.29Oct 10, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$482.45Oct 10, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$482.93Oct 10, 02:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $371.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 02:14 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.