Finished-Waiver
0xaf410590b5b4c01053d39ab2c570a74a286b0d70
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$8.48
Total PnL
$-3.38
Realised
$-0.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.29
$0.01
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Wolves vs. Brentford end in a draw?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$284.14Dec 15, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Dec 14, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$290.00Dec 12, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$289.71Dec 12, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.00Dec 12, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$290.00Dec 12, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?$292.70Dec 12, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?$293.00Dec 12, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Dec 12, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 12, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Dec 2, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Erling Haaland win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Nov 8, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace through strength" this week?$1.22Nov 8, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves vs. Brentford end in a draw?$1.00May 22, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo visit Turkey first?$1.00May 22, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace through strength" this week?$1.00May 22, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.00 in April?$1.02May 22, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?$2.06May 22, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.00Apr 10, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.00 in April?$1.00Apr 10, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $55.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 04:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.