0xaf4a910c9236da049e8b599ee7d46ff30f244d9e
0xaf4a910c9236da049e8b599ee7d46ff30f244d9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$16.35
Total PnL
$497.05
Realised
$549.75
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- EAGLES
Cowboys vs. Eagles
8 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$7.51
$1.72
- NATIONALS
Nationals vs. Cubs
5 shares @ 32.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$4.83
$3.27
- JACKSONVILLE STATE
Liberty vs. Jacksonville State
4 shares @ 40.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$4.01
$2.39
- COWBOYS
Cowboys vs. Eagles
1948 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-59.09
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.