Nifty-Downstairs
0xaf4ae9cdd83539d0df220ef1da7d473c84f4c394
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-355.03
Realised
$-4.62
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-03?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?
640 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
536 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?
420 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 7?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
252 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.13
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?
228 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
175 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-31.16
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?
175 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
150 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$6.16Feb 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$10.80Feb 28, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$35.00Feb 28, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$9.45Feb 27, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$7.98Feb 27, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$1.04Feb 22, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$1.00Feb 21, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.52Feb 20, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$2.64Feb 19, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$1.20Feb 18, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$1.80Feb 18, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$3.24Feb 18, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$0.78Feb 18, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$1.17Feb 18, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$1.49Feb 18, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.48Feb 18, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$6.14Feb 18, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.40Feb 17, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".