Lawful-Armadillo
0xaf5170b0e6155f9201bd6b58b670743ea3664885
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.65
Realised
$-0.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
225 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12?
69 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 26?
54 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 14?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 26?$1.00Feb 26, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.00Feb 16, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Feb 16, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on February 16?$1.00Feb 15, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 2PM ET$0.50Feb 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 2PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$0.65Feb 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on February 16?$1.00Feb 15, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 2PM ET$0.94Feb 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.33Feb 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.36Feb 15, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.96Feb 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.97Feb 15, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.