Assured-Sensitivity
0xaf536414aa596c8643ad4b789007dd685bbe9e58
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.56
Total PnL
$-9.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$2.56
$0.56
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
28 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$6.80Jan 25, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 25, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?$2.00Jan 25, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$1.00Jan 25, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$1.00Jan 25, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $2.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 16:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".