Smart-Smoke
0xaf56165d45d58bc20c30c8502bd370563ef69d25
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-562.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SEED Latam win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
1500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?
951 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will ENS win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
845 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
596 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?
335 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?
3 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.2KJul 7, 18:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 26, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.