Slow-Conformation
0xaf59050f1176a72536b90a9e71f84b2290c8f932
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$14.59
Total PnL
$-3.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.46
$0.00
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.42
$0.00
- NO
Will Opendoor reach $10 in April?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.82
$0.00
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.62
$0.01
- NO
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.34
$0.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.32
$0.00
- NO
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.31
$0.00
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.15
$0.00
- NO
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.13
$0.00
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$2.42Jun 1, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.34May 9, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor reach $10 in April?$1.82Apr 30, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.61Apr 29, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.32Apr 29, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.15Apr 15, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$1.13Mar 30, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$1.31Mar 29, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$2.46Dec 30, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$0.07Dec 29, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$11.09Dec 29, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$11.16Dec 29, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.12Dec 24, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.34Dec 24, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.46Dec 24, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9.50Dec 20, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.62Dec 20, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.12Dec 20, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?$5.17Dec 20, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?$1.05Dec 1, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.