Ornery-Shakedown
0xaf5aade7cedf83c94297e151ebb068c3359e7b57
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$9.29
Total PnL
$0.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.40
$0.10
- NO
Will Esther Soria Gonzales win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.33
$0.03
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 40+ seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 6?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.31
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?$1.33Apr 12, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Eight War" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$1.35Apr 12, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?$1.30Apr 6, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?$1.30Apr 6, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Eight War" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$1.30Apr 6, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$1.30Mar 26, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 21?$1.30Mar 26, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 23?$1.31Mar 26, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.32Mar 26, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 23?$1.30Mar 23, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 21 be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?$2.00Mar 23, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRight-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?$1.30Mar 22, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMVCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$1.40Mar 22, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Esther Soria Gonzales win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?$1.30Mar 22, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$1.30Mar 22, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 21?$2.00Mar 22, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win 40+ seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$1.30Mar 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on March 21?$2.03Mar 22, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$1.30Mar 22, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $137.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 02:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".