Flaky-Mud
0xaf66011d02320ea436b8cb824c5be7603a577887
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-123.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 39°F or below on January 27?
272 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-65.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 20-21°F on January 27?
93 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 28?
51 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$107.13Feb 2, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$314.25Feb 2, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$242.00Jan 31, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$10.00Jan 31, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 7-9 inches of snow in D.C. in January?$252.00Jan 31, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$26.81Jan 31, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$1.21Jan 31, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$25.45Jan 30, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$3.40Jan 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on January 30?$3.45Jan 30, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$6.00Jan 30, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$6.10Jan 30, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in January?$7.25Jan 30, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on January 30?$2.55Jan 29, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 29?$1.60Jan 29, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 29?$8.19Jan 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 28?$10.78Jan 28, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 28?$2.88Jan 28, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 28?$7.90Jan 28, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 29?$5.93Jan 28, 05:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".